Sunday 17 June 2012

SKYE BANK…LOW OUTSTANDING SHARES YET LOW EARNINGS PER SHARE.


SKYE BANK…LOW OUTSTANDING SHARES YET LOW EARNINGS PER SHARE.

No doubt about the Nigerian banks been the movers and shakers of the entire Nigerian Stock Market, one can even hasty generalized that the Nigerian Stock Market is all about the bank. There is however one worrisome trend across the sector and such lies in their EXCESSIVE or OVER-BLOATED OUTSTANDING SHARES  this can be majorly attributed to their almost year in year out bonus issues, though the banks are now gearing towards matching both their top-line and bottom-line with the excessive shares except for Unity bank which has seen earnings in terms of top and bottom line plummets thereby making its EPS worthless as it recapitalized and added another excess shares to the already existing excess shares.

Refraining from committing an all for one fallacy, a bank stands out in terms of its low OUTSTANDING SHARES unlike the others and such is the SKYE, Skye bank has the lowest outstanding shares in the banking sector on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, this can be traced to its non-issuance of bonus as I could not trace and recently or past declared bonus from the company.

BANKS RANKING IN TERMS OF OUTSTANDING SHARES
RANK
BANK
OUTSTANDING SHARES (bill)
1
UNITY
33.675
2
FBN
32.632
3
UBA
32.334
4
ZENITH
31.396
5
GTB
29.413
6
FIDELITY
28.974
7
ACCESS
22.888
8
IBTC
18.750
9
FCMB
18.711
10
UBN
16.935
11
STERLING
15.703
12
DIAMOND
14.475
13
SKYE
13.219




NB-ECOBANK is not included as its position is not yet know due to it issuance of 3.125b to a new investment consortium, WemaBank and UBN are also not included as it they both do not have recent earning report to complete their juxtaposing.

From the tale above, it can be seen that Skye Bank sits at the bottom in terms of outstanding shares. A feat which should give it an edge in its EPS comparability with its peers, the table below shows the ranking in terms of EPS.

RANKING IN TERMS OF EPS(EARNING PER SHARE) base on QUATER1, 2012

RANK
BANK
EPS(K)
1
FBN
75
2
GTB
65
3
ZENITH
61
4
ACCESS
53
5
UBA
42
6
DIAMOND
35
7
SKYE
26
8
FCMB
22
9
IBTC
13
10
FIDELITY
11
11
STERLING
0.8
12
UNITY
0.6

From its position in terms of outstanding share, Skye bank has no business been in the 7th position in terms of EPS hierarchy, if FCMB has the same OS as Skye, it will even precede Skye Bank in the table above!!! What could then be the reason for Skye not to leverage out an high EPS value from its corresponding low OS? The answer is not farfetched as it lies in its low TOPLINE and BOTTOMLINE, this will therefore lead to a comparison between topline and bottom line of the banks.

Q1,2012 Topline and Bottomline of Nigerian Banks


FBN
ZEN
UBA
GTB
ACC
DIA
SKYE
FID
FCMB
STRL
IBTC
UNITY
TLINE(Bil)
92.286
72356
53.864
52.615
52.172
30.732
27.839
22.429
19.755
17.716
14.689
12.693
BLINE(Bil)
24.524
19.226
13.778
19.312
12.114
5.097
3.476
3.402
4.092
1.321
2.501
1.960

DEDUCTIONS
                Pre-recent M&A Access, Fcmb and Skye were classified as Tier2 banks but it now seems Access is leaving that region to compete with the Tier1Banks,some analyst will even adjudge it is already a Tier1 bank. Agreed that Access recent acquisition must have aided such feat but I won’t totally agree it form the entire basis for accomplishment as it was not the only bank that took part in the M&A process. It thus implies the management of ACCESS is assiduously putting strategy into place while that of SKYE may be complacent!!!

                Singling out both FCMB and SKYE Bank shows an obvious contraction, SKYE topline is by almost an average higher than FCMB topline yet the latter has an higher bottomline than the former. This unconnected choppy could arise from excessive Management and administrative expenses, high cost of finance, abundant loan provision, surplus provision for depreciation and amortization, etc. Whichever any of such incoherent arises from, it does not speak well about the management.

                Maybe I will one day work in a bank so that I will understand core intricacies, because I tend to be marveled and I ask, what is the likes of FBN,ZENITH,GTB,ACCESS doing that others could not imitate to at least close-up, even by little, the excess gap in their topline? One of Nigeria foremost Finance expert “KNIGHTOFDELTA’’ who has already predicted an increased buoy in the topline and bottomline of the Tier1 banks before they were released links such buoyancy to their involvement of Treasury Bills, that I wish I can comprehend and i am eager to, I will therefore be taking an unrushed look at the entire figures of the Tier1 versus Tier2, comparing their T-bills status and gets to learn about T-bills at large as these should be among the tenets to watch out for when considering buying the banks.……………
To be continued
DISCLAIMER: This write up is neither to dress down Skyebank nor incite the investing public against skyebank shares or the NSE at large, it should be taken as lighter note from the writer, do also note that the writer, 1himself is a graduate of Physics major and does not have any formal Finance knowledge.
A Critical review coupled with questions will also be welcomed.

1himself can be followed on Twitter @1himself